Incertidumbre y comportamiento electoral en la transición democrática: la elección mexicana de 1988
Abstract
Transitions to democracy are characterized by a high degreeof uncertainty. Any attempt to explain electoral behavior in a transi-tional regime requires that uncertainty be included as a centralvariable that determines voters' choice. Ifvoters are risk-averse theywill be more likely to support the party they have more informationabout. To substantiate this argument a statistical analysis is perfor-med on a Gallup survey conducted several weeks before the 1988presidential election in Mexico.
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